Calendar of Rekt

Bitcoin Extreme Crash Risk Forecast

What are your chances of getting REKT this month? This visualization reveals the monthly probability of experiencing at least one extreme Bitcoin price crash (daily returns below the 1st percentile). Based on a comprehensive analysis of historical BTC price patterns using a Poisson-Gamma Bayesian model with seasonal adjustments.
Click on any month to see historical crash events with detailed news & analysis.

Current Month Crash Risk Temperature

--.--%

Low Risk

High Risk

Next 90 Days

Next 30 Days

Next 14 Days

Next 7 Days

Next 1 Day

Historical Risk Timeline

2013 2025

2025: Bitcoin's Risk Profile

Analyzing complete Bitcoin price history for statistical patterns...

Calendar of Rekt

Bitcoin Crash Risk Unleashed

--.--%

Crash Probability

The odds of an extreme Bitcoin price crash in the next 30 days, based on historical chaos and market mayhem.

Biggest Historical Crash

No historical crashes

No significant historical crash data available for this month.